Medicaid

States Submit Applications for Rural Health Transformation Program: Trends and Opportunities

On November 5, 2025, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) announced that all 50 states had submitted applications to be considered for participation in the Rural Health Transformation Program (RHTP) created under the Budget Reconciliation Act of 2025. States proposed a range of initiatives to strengthen innovation, modernize rural health infrastructure, and address persistent disparities in healthcare access, workforce, and outcomes in rural communities. Funding decisions are expected by December 31, 2025.

The RHTP represents a major federal investment in rural health transformation. For providers, community partners, and other interest holders, applications offer valuable insight into state priorities, partnership models, and the types of initiatives likely to receive funding.

Many state feedback processes are ongoing for providers, community organizations, and other partners. Even after submission, states are refining their proposals and negotiating with CMS. Organizations should review available materials and take advantage of open comment periods or stakeholder meetings to help states prepare for a strong program launch in early 2025.

Health Management Associates (HMA) reviewed state overviews and applications, where available. In this article we highlight key takeaways from this review and the information available through HMA’s Information Services (HMAIS).

Key Issues and Trends

  • Breadth of initiatives and focus areas. State initiatives meet the specific categorical CMS requirements and include a range of innovative models, ideas, and investments in building out pilots and infrastructure. The number of initiatives that states have planned also vary, with most proposing four or five, but at least one state has developed 11 planned programs. Many initiatives involved remote patient monitoring and telehealth, including tele-specialty clinics, tele-psychiatry hubs, tele-intensive care unit support, among others. Several states proposed to establish and enhance models involving emergency medical services (EMS). Proposals also include a range of investments in electronic health records (EHRs), data infrastructure, and interoperability to specific provider types and generally in rural communities.
  • Subgrant and Partnership Opportunities: Many applications include subgrant programs or call for partnerships with hospitals, clinics, community-based organizations, Tribal entities, and educational institutions. Reviewing state applications can help organizations understand the timelines for upcoming funding and partnership opportunities as well as expectations associated with the state initiatives.
  • Diverse governance and implementation models: The tracker reveals a range of governance structures, from state-led advisory boards and interagency task forces to regional hubs and cross-sector partnerships. States are leveraging advisory councils, technical assistance partners, and community engagement frameworks to guide implementation and oversight.

Some states have yet to submit their full applications but still have opportunities to engage and shape state efforts through various methods. Many states have kept open public feedback mechanisms even as they negotiate with CMS on budgets and program details. This situation creates an evolving landscape wherein stakeholders must monitor multiple channels for updates and opportunities.

Why This Matters

HMAIS’ RHTP Inventory provides states, rural communities, and their partners an actionable road map for state initiatives. This inventory covers focus areas for state initiatives, governance models, funding requests, partnership opportunities, and other key information. This tool helps organizations monitor trends and identify where to engage. HMA will continue to follow state activity in this program as states move forward.

Beyond the tracker, HMA offers deep regional market expertise—our consultants understand state-specific priorities and can provide tailored analysis and strategic planning to position your organization for success. Whether you’re exploring telehealth investments, building partnerships, or preparing for new initiatives in rural health transformation, our team can help you navigate the details and seize opportunities.

For questions about the HMAIS RHTP Inventory and to connect with our state-market leads, contact our experts below.

Where Duals Integration Is Headed: State-by-State Intelligence

Dually eligible individuals are those who qualify for both Medicare and Medicaid. This population accounts for a disproportionately small share of the total Medicaid or Medicare population, but they account for a disproportionately large share of spending across both programs.

Medicare Advantage Dual Eligible Special Needs Plans Play a Key Role

Over the last several decades, federal and state policymakers have developed and implemented a range of programs, demonstrations, and approaches to improve care for this population and strengthen alignment between Medicare and Medicaid, improve outcomes, and manage costs. Medicare Advantage (MA) Dual Eligible Special Needs Plans (D-SNPs) are a key vehicle to accomplish federal and state goals.

What to Expect in Medicare Advantage Contract Year 2026

In 2026 and beyond, we can expect significant state and local shifts in plan enrollment, due to new federal requirements and state demonstration program transitions. We will see states focused on advancing aligned plan enrollment and setting higher expectations for Medicare-Medicaid integrated programs.

A New Inventory to Stay on Top of State Markets

Health Management Associates (HMA) has published the Duals Integration Environmental Inventory, a state-by-state view of state Medicaid program structures and regulations shaping integration and D-SNP markets. This resource is designed to help state policymakers, insurers, and healthcare organizations track trends, identify opportunities, and inform strategic planning in an evolving policy landscape.

Looking Ahead at the Changes in 2026 and Beyond

Federal rules for the Medicare Advantage 2026 contract year—and state Medicaid contractual agreements with plans—strengthen D-SNP integration standards and coordination between states and plans. Examples include:

  • D-SNP Look-Alike Plans: In 2026, the threshold for identifying MA plans as D-SNP look-alikes will decrease from 70 percent to 60 percent. This 10-percentage point drop marks the second of two planned phasedowns in the threshold percentage. Look-alike plans are MA plans that are marketed to dually eligible individuals, but they are not required to comply with D-SNP integration requirements. Stronger federal standards will require MA look-alike plans with high dual enrollment to convert or exit the market, which is expected to lead to shifts in dually eligible enrollment into D-SNPs and other integrated products.
  • Financial Alignment Initiative Demonstration Transitions: The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has worked with several states operating capitated Financial Alignment Initiative (FAI) demonstrations to transition Medicare-Medicaid Plans (MMPs) to integrated D-SNPs by January 1, 2026. These states include Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Ohio, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Texas will end their FAI demonstrations on December 31, 2025.
  • 2027 D-SNP Rules: Beginning in 2027, D-SNPs affiliated with Medicaid managed care organizations (MCOs) must restrict enrollment to Medicaid MCO enrollees. In addition, federal rules will limit the number of D-SNP plan benefit packages, which will require additional coordination with Medicaid affiliates and planning in designing benefit packages and network.

State Medicaid Program Adjustments

States are working to align new federal D-SNP requirements with existing Medicaid managed care contracts, long-term services and supports carve-in strategies, and service-area mappings. Because State Medicaid Agency Contracts (SMACs) must be updated annually, all SMACs will need to incorporate the new D-SNP provisions as the new requirements take effect. This effort will require close coordination among state agencies, plans, and CMS to manage enrollee transitions, data-sharing, and communications.

Data-Informed Integration Insights

HMA’s Duals Integration Environmental Inventory is a single hub for insights into requirements, approaches to scope of integration programs, and enrollment data. The inventory will help plans and other types of organizations such as providers and community-based organizations to prepare for future contracting, compliance, and operational transitions.

This inventory is designed to answer the four major questions top of mind:

  • What is the state’s integration model and D-SNP type. The inventory identifies each state’s approach to integrating care for dually eligible populations, including states with Fully Integrated Dual Eligible Special Needs Plans (FIDE-SNPs), Highly Integrated D-SNPs (HIDE-SNPs), coordination-only models, and Exclusively Aligned Enrollment (EAE) initiatives or comparable rules
  • Does the state’s program integrate LTSS and/or Behavioral Health? The inventory details whether long-term services and supports and behavioral health are carved into or out of managed care and how those benefits interact with Medicare coverage within D-SNP structures
  • What is the state’s enrollment policy? The inventory captures enrollment in HIDE/FIDE products, identifies Applicable Integrated Plan (AIP) states, and gauges overall alignment maturity
  • What is the state’s procurement and contract timeline? The inventory also tracks state procurement timelines, upcoming RFPs, and effective contract dates

Connect with Us

HMA experts are tracking state integration strategies, procurement timelines, and future state planning activities. Beyond the tracker, HMA colleagues provide tailored analysis and planning for state-specific initiatives. Our team can help health plans prepare for enrollment shifts, compliance requirements, and integration opportunities in 2026 and beyond. For information about subscription access to the HMA Information Services (HMAIS) inventory and to connect with HMA consultants who can address your integration questions, contact our experts below.

States need to move quickly on Rural Health Transformation Program

As of November 5th, states have submitted their applications for the Rural Health Transformation Program (RHTP) – a major federal initiative aimed at addressing persistent healthcare challenges in rural communities. Authorized by the 2025 budget reconciliation bill (OBBBA), the RHTP will distribute $50 billion over the next five years to help rural communities improve healthcare access, quality, and outcomes. All 50 states are eligible. 

This submission marks a key milestone, but it’s just the beginning. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is reviewing applications, and ongoing conversations between states and CMS will shape the final design and implementation of each state’s program. Awards are expected by December 31, 2025, and states – and their partners – must be ready to move quickly early in 2026. 

States must now prepare for a fast-moving design and implementation phase, building on initiatives already underway and refining plans and budgets based on CMS feedback. States will need to staff up quickly and launch new projects in early 2026. With tight fiscal timelines and the risk of forfeiting funds, agencies and community organizations must act decisively. It will be crucial to demonstrate impact on health outcomes within the first half of 2026 will be critical.

Organizations across the healthcare industry should closely monitor how states plan to operationalize their proposals, as these strategies will shape funding flows and partnership opportunities. 

Many state agency leaders will be attending the National Association of Medicaid Directors (NAMD) annual conference November 18-21, 2025. The RHTP applications will be a big topic of conversation, with states sharing ideas and stakeholders discussing challenges and opportunities that could be addressed with RHTP funding. HMA will have a strong presence at NAMD and will be gathering important insights on the federal expectations, program content, and operational strategies that states put in their applications.  

Organizations interested in learning more about their state’s direction – or in becoming part of the implementation conversation – can reach out to HMA experts listed below.

What’s next with the RHTP?

Any state that is approved for RHTP funding requires:

  • A strong management structure at the state level, including dashboards and oversight of programs funded through this award
  • Defined goals and sustainable initiatives in chronic disease management, primary care, behavioral health, maternal health, digital innovation, workforce initiatives, and other topics
  • Demonstrated outcomes that evidence improvements in rural access and health outcomes, as well as the care experience of rural residents

HMA is ready to help. Our team brings deep expertise in tackling the complex challenges of delivering quality healthcare and human services to rural communities. We understand the challenges rural providers face—from workforce shortages and service gaps to transportation hurdles and socio-economic barriers—and can help states and organizations navigate complexities of implementation.  

With broad experience, HMA is a national leader in healthcare consulting, with a multidisciplinary team of over 700 experts experienced in policy, finance, clinical services, analytics, and community engagement. We help rural organizations act decisively and efficiently, meeting the strict deadlines set by the RHTP and minimizing risks such as funding claw-backs. From actuarial and financial skills to clinical and operational expertise, policy, and analytics, HMA can support successful implementation of your State’s Rural Health Transformation program.

Related resources:

Cross-Sector Collaboration: Unlocking the Full Potential of Community-Based Services in a Challenging Funding Climate

Lessons Learned from State-Led Transformation Efforts

As federal and state healthcare policy continues to evolve, the need for cross-sector collaboration has never been more urgent. The 2025 budget reconciliation act (OBBBA, P.L. 119-21) introduces significant changes to Medicaid eligibility and financing, prompting a shift in strategy for policymakers and advocates working to advance whole-person care and address social determinants of health (SDOH). The new policies reflect a reorientation of Medicaid financing, with a greater emphasis on state flexibility, targeted benefits, and value-based care.

In this environment, enhanced partnerships and strategic alignment across sectors will be essential to sustain community-based services and workforce investments. In this article, Health Management Associates (HMA), experts highlight key observations from multiple state transformation programs, including actionable strategies for leveraging these assets and meeting the needs of at-risk populations.

Revisiting SDOH Initiatives in a New Policy Context

Whole-person care models have long called for integrated, multidisciplinary approaches. These models—once buoyed by COVID-19 pandemic-era funding and broad federal support—must now be recalibrated to align with new federal priorities. Current federal priorities emphasize streamlined benefits, fiscal discipline, and state-led innovation, which presents both challenges and opportunities for advancing integrated care. This shift has heightened the need to clarify roles and responsibilities across clinical and community settings, focusing on how to maintain essential linkages to primary and preventive care, especially for individuals for whom access remains fragile.

In addition, the ongoing healthcare workforce crisis intensifies the need for creative approaches to whole-person care models. Solutions must go beyond traditional payment models, leveraging existing social care networks, shared hub functions, alternative payment strategies above base rates, and braided funding streams.

State and federal initiatives can be used to sustain momentum and test emerging models. For example, the Rural Health Transformation Program (RHTP) offers a critical opportunity to support these efforts. With $50 billion in funding over five years, RHTP is designed to help states implement innovative models that improve rural health outcomes, strengthen workforce capacity, and address SDOH. States will be finalizing their applications to meet the November 5 deadline. HMA is tracking how these applications align with the strategies outlined below, using the program’s baseline and performance-based funding to invest in infrastructure, workforce development, and cross-sector partnerships.

Key Lessons from State Transformation Programs

Drawing on recent transformation programs, HMA experts identified several key lessons, including:

  • Prioritize Intensive, Community-Based Outreach: States and health plans should invest in community-based outreach strategies that reach populations facing the greatest SDOH barriers, including funding models that support navigation and engagement beyond traditional clinical settings and leveraging shared infrastructure to extend reach.
  • Update Community Health Worker (CHW) Benefit Structure to Maximize Impact: States, in collaboration with their partners, should revisit CHW benefit design to allow for greater flexibility. Reducing reliance on clinical supervision and referral-only pathways can help CHWs operate more effectively in terms of outreach, education, and engagement.
  • Strengthen Workforce Retention through Flexible Financing: Healthcare stakeholders should explore braided funding, shared hub models, and alternative payment models that go beyond base rates. These approaches can sustain staff and morale amid shifting demands and constrained budgets.

Connect with Us

The strategies in HMA’s recent report for IllinoisMedicaid Financing for Social Health: A Resource Compendium for Illinois Community-Based Organizations & Networks, can be adapted to other states and communities. By sharing lessons and adopting best practices from transformation programs nationwide, we can reinforce pathways to integrated care and ensure that populations continue to receive the support they need—even in the face of unprecedented challenges.

HMA experts are helping states, healthcare plans, and community partners adapt and thrive as federal and state policy landscapes continue evolving. HMA teams are applying their cross-sector expertise in SDOH, workforce development, and state-specific knowledge to help organizations better plan, implement, and develop programs to solve healthcare challenges in their community. For questions about the report or opportunities for your organization, reach out to our experts below.

The Future of Integrated Care Programs for Dually Eligible Individuals in Massachusetts: Key Takeaways from the Fall 2025 MAHP/HMA Policy Forum

Health Management Associates (HMA) recently co-hosted a policy forum with the Massachusetts Association of Health Plans (MAHP), entitled Advancing Better Outcomes: How the One Care and SCO Programs Improve Health for Older Adults and People with Disabilities on Medicare and Medicaid. More than 100 key decision makers from MassHealth (Medicaid), health plans, providers, community-based organizations, and advocacy organizations attended the conference, elevating the value of the MassHealth One Care and Senior Care Options (SCO) programs to dually eligible individuals. The policy forum also provided an important opportunity for state legislators and their staff to learn about these complex programs.

MassHealth One Care and SCO Programs

Massachusetts’ One Care and the SCO programs currently serve more than 125,000 individuals covered under MassHealth and Medicare, also known as dually eligible individuals. One Care is a population-specific program for dually eligible adults 21-64 years of age. SCO is a population-specific program for dually eligible older adults 65 and older, tailored to the needs of older adults. The One Care and SCO programs serve individuals with complex chronic conditions and disabilities, including mental health and substance use disorder needs, and high home-and-community-based service (HCBS) needs. The One Care and SCO programs advance independent living, recovery, and community living goals. Approximately 99 percent of One Care enrollees, and 95 percent of SCO enrollees, live in the community.

The One Care program is currently authorized as a Financial Alignment Initiative (FAI) demonstration program. The FAI demonstration ends December 31, 2025. MassHealth will continue the One Care program as a Fully Integrated Dual Eligible Special Needs Plan (FIDE SNP) model. This transition from the FAI to a FIDE SNP model introduces changes to the program. A FIDE SNP model is a type of Medicare Advantage (MA) Dual Eligible Special Needs Plan (D-SNP).

HMA’s Role: Bringing National and State Expertise

In addition to creating the forum in partnership with MAHP, HMA shared its national and state policy expertise and local market insights with attendees during a series of presentations. HMA outlined ways in which the One Care and SCO programs offer more value to dually eligible individuals than the state’s fee-for-service (FFS) system.

The event focused on three key topics:

  • The national landscape for Medicare-Medicaid integrated care programs.
  • The value of the One Care and SCO programs and the role that health plans play in improving outcomes for adults who are eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid (“dually eligible”), and
  • The upcoming changes to the One Care and SCO programs, as reflected in the 2026 state Medicaid agency contracts (SMACs) with MassHealth.

Key Takeaways from the MAHP-HMA Conference

Key Takeaway #1. Nationwide trends suggest that Medicare-Medicaid integrated care programs will face competition and financial pressures.

Forum attendees were very interested in the national trends. At the national level, D-SNPs have bipartisan support. At the same time, D-SNPs should expect competition from Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans (C-SNPs) and innovation models developed by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI). CMMI models such as the Guiding an Improved Dementia Experience (GUIDE) Model and Accountable Care Organizations (ACO) Realizing Equity, Access, and Community Health (REACH) Model will compete with D-SNP models in some markets. Finally, presenters and panelists alike raised concerns about the financial risks that D-SNPs will face due to rising pharmacy costs and changes in Medicare payment methodologies.

Key Takeaway #2. The Massachusetts One Care and SCO programs provide significant value to dually eligible individuals in Massachusetts.

The One Care and SCO programs provide significant value to enrollees. As compared to FFS, Medicaid-Medicaid integrated care programs like One Care and SCO provide care coordination, a personal care plan, bundling prescriptions through a single provider, and other services.

Many forum attendees pointed out that the One Care program is one of the most advanced integrated care programs in the nation. One Care’s success is tied in part to the active and critical role that the One Care Implementation Council plays in shaping program policy. For more than a decade, the One Care Implementation Council and MassHealth have worked in partnership to improve the program. As shared by the Massachusetts Medicaid Policy Institute (MMPI): “The Commonwealth intends to preserve the Implementation Council’s role in the next phase of One Care, and to continue engaging the council as an essential partner in policy and program change, monitoring, and oversight.”

Key Takeaway #3. Over the last two decades, SCO and One Care plans have established many innovations.

The forum highlighted many innovations in these programs, from primary and urgent home care to place-based supports. It also provided an opportunity to talk about the important role and commitment that the plans have in emergency situations to ensure that members are safe in the face of a community crisis.

Panelists see many opportunities for plans to continue to evolve and improve outcomes and equity. For example, the One Care program has significant opportunities to address the behavioral health needs of dually eligible adults. Dually eligible adults with mental health and/or substance use disorder diagnoses are at higher risk of an emergency department visit and inpatient stay than other enrollees. Health plan per member per month (PMPM) spending on inpatient services for those with a behavioral health condition is much higher as a share of the total PMPM than other populations. The HMA data pointed to a need for further innovation in the mental health arena to advance better outcomes of quality of life and costs.

Key Takeaway #4. Conference attendees focused on the importance of addressing enrollees’ social determinants of health needs.

Throughout the day, the importance of community and addressing the social determinants of health (SDOH) was a common theme. Aging and disability leaders spoke about the importance of community organizations such as Aging Services Access Points (ASAPs), independent living centers (ILCs), recovery learning communities (RLCs) including peer support since most  One Care and SCO individuals live in the community.

Many One Care and SCO eligible individuals are often just one unmet health related social need away from the risk of hospitalization or institutionalization. Other attendees underscored the risk that enrollee living situations and recovery can become instantly unstable due to the death of an important family member. One aging leader described her role as “triaging risk.” Other leaders from the disability community urged plans to use z codes to improve plan and provider attention to identify and address the SDOH needs.

Looking Ahead

As Massachusetts prepares for the 2026 One Care and SCO contract year, the forum underscored the progress made over the past decade and the opportunities ahead to improve care coordination, collect z codes, and invest in outcomes-driven partnerships. Massachusetts is well-positioned to continue leading the nation in designing integrated care programs that improve health and support community living for older adults and people with disabilities.

HMA looks forward to supporting all organizations including state Medicaid programs and health plan and provider associations as they convene stakeholders to improve their integrated care programs. Our expertise includes program planning, strategy and implementation, technical support and evaluation, and state-specific knowledge to make projects successful. Please contact Ellen Breslin, Rob Buchanan, and Julie Faulhaber for more information on how HMA can help your organization.

Summary Facts About the One Care and SCO Programs
The One Care and SCO programs are population-specific programs, serving more than 125,000 individuals with MassHealth plus Medicare coverage.   MassHealth designed the One Care and SCO programs around the specific needs, preferences and goals of adults and older adults.The One Care program enrolls dually eligible adults with disabilities, ages 21-64 at the time of enrollment, covered under MassHealth Standard or CommonHealth and Medicare (Parts A and B, and eligible for Part D). Enrollees in One Care have multiple chronic conditions and disabilities including significant mental health and substance use disorder needs. The SCO program enrolls dually eligible adults ages 65 and older, covered under MassHealth Standard and Medicare (Parts A and B, and eligible for Part D). SCO enrollees have significant chronic conditions, many of which are associated with aging.
MassHealth launched the SCO program in 2004 and One Care in 2013.   The One Care program currently operates as a Financial Alignment Initiative (FAI) demonstration. The One Care and the SCO programs combine MassHealth & Medicare benefits into a single plan with one card and one care team. One Care covers medical, mental health, and prescription medications, plus support for daily tasks and independent living and recovery. Care coordinators help members stay healthy and get the services they need.
The One Care and SCO Programs Continue to Evolve. The FAI demonstration authority ends in 2025. Massachusetts will shift from the demonstration to a Fully Integrated Dual Eligible Special Needs Plan (FIDE-SNP) structure. The SCO program currently operates as a FIDE SNP model. The state reprocured the One Care and SCO plan network. The state selected five One Care plans and six SCO plans. New contracts for One Care and SCO plans start January 1, 2026.The new contracts create several changes including changes in eligibility for the program and enrollment processes, benefits, and financial payment provisions.

Rewriting the Playbook: State Budgeting in the Era of OBBBA

As of October 22, 2025, all but two states—North Carolina and Pennsylvania—had enacted budgets covering fiscal year (FY) 2026, even as the federal landscape has shifted dramatically throughout the year. In particular, passage of the 2025 Budget Reconciliation Act (OBBBA) and the ongoing federal budget impasse are creating significant downstream pressures on state budgets and the programs they support.

A new report from Health Management Associates Information Services (HMAIS) examines enacted state budgets. Of the 48 enacted budgets, 16 cover the 2025‒27 biennium, and three states—Kentucky, Virginia, and Wyoming—approved budgets in 2024 for the FY 2024‒26 biennium.

The HMAIS report highlights state Medicaid funding priorities, initiatives states are pursuing to adapt to new federal Medicaid and other healthcare policy changes, and reforms to strengthen and ensure the sustainability of programs, particularly in states that expect a reduction in the federal share of their Medicaid program.

OBBBA’s Impact on State Budgets

Congress has yet to reach agreement on the federal fiscal year 2026 spending bills, and there are emerging signals of the challenges this impasse will create for states and federally funded public services. For example, this week the US Department of Agriculture’s Food and Nutrition Service notified every state that Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits will be withheld because of the funding lapse. This unprecedented situation puts immediate pressure on states and community organizations, which may need to intervene to fill gaps in essential services and benefits.

In addition to the funding impasse, OBBBA introduces major changes, particularly for the Medicaid program, including:

  • Medicaid Community Engagement/Work Requirements: All states must implement these requirements for certain Medicaid members by December 31, 2026, requiring rapid infrastructure and system changes.
  • Eligibility and Redetermination: States must conduct Medicaid eligibility redeterminations every six months for expansion populations, with new verification requirements and narrowed definitions for “qualified” immigrants. States will need to pressure test their systems for increased volume and may need additional capacity to prevent and minimize backlogs.
  • Cost Sharing: By 2028, states must apply a cost sharing requirement for Medicaid expansion adults with incomes above 100 percent of the federal poverty level, with some service exemptions. In 2026, states will need to begin efforts to ensure their systems can track this requirement.
  • Provider Taxes and Payments: Freezes on provider tax programs, phased reductions in allowable tax rates, and caps on state-directed payments will reduce flexibility and funding.

In addition, the Rural Health Transformation Program and new federal drug pricing initiatives present both opportunities, such as new funding streams, and risks, including administrative complexity and compliance expectations.

Given the scope of federal changes, states face urgent decisions. They must quickly assess and act on these opportunities, often without dedicated budget allocations.

These federal changes, combined with the budget impasse, are forcing many states to revisit approved budgets, adapt policies, and plan for new initiatives and revise programs that were already in effect—often within short timelines and with limited resources.

State-Level Challenges and Adjustments

Notably, most states enacted their budgets before the passage of OBBBA. As a result, these budgets do not fully account for the new federal requirements, funding changes, and administrative expectations that OBBBA introduces. While many OBBBA provisions will not take effect for at least a year, states must now accelerate planning and make rapid adjustments to comply with new mandates. For example, states are expected to expediently and efficiently implement systems and policies to ensure compliance with OBBBA’s statutory requirements, particularly for the Medicaid program.

HMAIS has examined state budgets that will guide states through the next fiscal year, while also watching closely how they respond to new demands during the first full state legislative cycle under OBBBA.

The HMAIS report describes a mix of budget conditions and actions. Many states continue to invest in ongoing healthcare priorities as well as new initiatives, including targeted rate increases for behavioral health, dental, and maternal health services. In addition, states are addressing inefficiencies in program administration broadly. In healthcare specifically, they are revisiting approaches to financing healthcare service delivery to drive more value from organizations, such as implementing alternative payment models in Medicaid programs, as well as considering tools to improve patient outcomes and consumer experiences.

States are using a variety of tools in their Medicaid budgets to manage these pressures, as well as implementing more general cost-reduction and efficiency measures, including:

  • Special Legislative Sessions. Some state legislatures, including Colorado’s and New Mexico’s, have reconvened to address emerging gaps.
  • Hiring Freezes. Several states, including Alaska, Colorado, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Washington, have announced hiring freezes, which could complicate OBBBA preparation efforts.
  • Pausing or Ending Planned Programs and Benefit Coverage. Oregon announced that it will end its juvenile justice Medicaid reentry program to conserve funding. North Carolina will not cover new weight-loss drugs because of its budget shortfall. The HMAIS report indicates that officials in other states also have signaled that they are planning for similar updates to their programs if required to address budget shortfalls.
  • Medicaid Provider Rate Updates. Colorado rolled back a planned Medicaid provider rate increase, while Idaho is decreasing all Medicaid provider rates by 4 percent.
  • Coalitions and Advisory Groups. Other states, including Rhode Island, are convening groups charged with analyzing how the federal cuts may affect their state programs and advising the legislature on feasible responses to the changed landscape.

What to Watch

Healthcare organizations are essential partners as states navigate the current federal budget uncertainty and implement OBBBA requirements. Given the challenges cited above, healthcare organizations should be prepared to collaborate and position to anticipate future needs as the exact components of the various policies are in development.

Recommendations for states and healthcare organizations include:

  • Do not delay planning. While federal policymakers are developing guidance and regulations, the OBBBA language provides significant information on what states need to do and initial expectations for reporting. States and their partners should be developing options and contingency plans to make expeditious decisions once details are available.
  • Monitor and anticipate state actions and develop responses that are ready to go if needed. For example, states may need to make rate reductions, limit enrollment for optional programs, and communicate with beneficiaries about new requirements. Partners should plan to adapt to these changes and assist providers and beneficiaries as needed.
  • Prepare for changes in workload. States will need to design, develop, implement, and report on new Medicaid eligibility and enrollment requirements. They will need a workforce that is trained and can read into the policies, systems, and related needs. States will expect their partners to collaborate on efficient approaches to meet workload demands.
  • Engage with state officials. States need thoughtful partners to manage and implement the forthcoming changes that will affect Medicaid partners and beneficiaries. Healthcare organizations should bring experience and data-informed ideas and input to facilitate state approaches and decision-making.

Connect with Us
With federal funding reductions and ongoing uncertainty at the national level, states need to pay heightened attention to the frontline of essential healthcare and human services, implementation of OBBBA, and means of addressing gaps left by federal delays. As we approach the 2026 election year—with many governors up for reelection—state budgets will serve as a blueprint for leadership and policy priorities in the next cycle.

HMA is on the frontlines, working with states and healthcare partners to navigate these complexities. HMA has expertise, tools, and insights—from budget contingency planning supports to analysis of public coverage program enrollment and market insights.

The full report is available to HMAIS subscribers. For questions contact our experts below.

CMS Clarifies Grandfathering Rules for State Directed Payments

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) last month issued a letter to states providing preliminary guidance on Medicaid State Directed Payments (SDPs), which outlines new federal payment limits, clarifies grandfathering provisions, and signals significant changes ahead for Medicaid financing and policy. The letter is part of CMS’s implementation of Section 71116 of the Budget Reconciliation Act of 2025 (OBBBA, P.L. 119-21)—the portion of the legislation that focuses on curbing SDP spending and reinforcing program integrity.

Though CMS describes the guidance as preliminary, it is the view of Health Management Associates (HMA) experts—including former state officials, actuaries, and policy strategists—that it signals directionally new policy for Medicaid agencies, managed care organizations (MCOs), and providers. CMS is working on two proposed SDP-related regulations, which are in the final stages of federal review. The preliminary guidance and forthcoming rules will likely reflect long-standing concerns for several years, even over shifting congressional control and multiple presidential administrations.

This article addresses key clarifications in the letter; the impact of the preliminary guidance on states, MCOs, and providers; and how the directive may influence Medicaid budgets, financing strategies, and future policy reforms.

Guidance Clarifies Timeframes for SDPs

Grandfathering Limited to Specific Rating Periods

CMS will allow states to maintain SDP spending amounts, up to the average commercial rate ceiling, that were in place for state fiscal year (SFY) 2025, calendar year (CY) 2025, and SFY 2026 rating periods. Nonetheless, new or expanded SDPs above Medicare equivalent levels in expansion states and 110 percent of Medicare in non-expansion states—even those based on legislation passed in 2025—are ineligible for grandfathering if they apply to rating periods starting after July 4, 2025. These grandfathered spending amounts will need to phase down with rating periods beginning on or after January 1, 2028.

Preliminary Grandfathering Determinations

CMS has begun notifying states whether a preprint is “likely eligible” for grandfathering. Because these are preliminary determinations, states should prepare for further review and revisions.

Submission Cutoff Date Clarified

In response to confusion around the May 1, 2025, submission deadline, CMS clarified that July 4, 2025, is the cutoff for grandfathering eligibility, provided the state fully completed the preprint. States may have rushed to meet a July 4 submission deadline and may have left questions on the preprint unanswered. In these instances, it is possible—if not likely—that CMS will consider the application incomplete and thus ineligible for grandfathering. Since this is a developing area with limited precedent, states may still seek clarification or reconsideration, though CMS has not yet issued definitive guidance or a formal process for resolving these situations.

No Increases Allowed Until 2028

States are prohibited from increasing the total dollar amount of grandfathered SDPs—the “expected spend”—until January 1, 2028. This restriction limits flexibility for states to expand their programs and may require that they reassess their SDP strategies. For example, using percentage-based calculations tied to average commercial rates, will no longer capture year-to-year growth because of utilization or acuity changes.

10 Percent Phasedown Unaddressed

CMS has yet to provide official guidance on the 10 percent phasedown of SDPs. Stakeholders remain in a holding pattern, awaiting a forthcoming proposed rule that will clarify how reductions will be calculated.

What It Means for States and Healthcare Organizations

SDPs have become a critical tool for states to stabilize provider networks through increased Medicaid reimbursement. This authority will be significantly limited, and states will need to reduce many existing programs. Medicaid enrollment losses resulting from other Medicaid policy changes, such as work requirements and minimum semiannual redetermination, will likely compound the strain on provider payments.

Providers and states need to start planning for these losses in revenue now. Strategic planning for SDP sustainability and close monitoring of upcoming CMS rulemaking is essential.

While the guidance imposes constraints, it also opens the door for policy innovation. For example, some states may use this moment to reform Medicaid financing, streamline supplemental payments, and reconfigure provider incentives to better reflect quality and access, advancing value-based care goals and achieving total cost of care savings through efficiency and aligned incentives.

Connect with Us

HMA is uniquely positioned to support states, MCOs, and providers as they navigate the evolving landscape of Medicaid SDPs. Our team includes former state Medicaid directors, actuaries, and policy strategists with deep expertise in designing sustainable financing arrangements and guiding public engagement processes. We bring robust modeling capabilities to clients seeking to assess the financial impact of CMS’s new restrictions, including the 10 percent phasedown and interactions with provider tax limitations. Our experts are actively engaged with CMS and understand how to translate federal guidance into actionable strategies that align with state goals and operational realities.

Whether revising preprint submissions, evaluating quality frameworks, or rethinking provider incentives, HMA delivers the technical and policy insight needed to move forward with confidence.

For questions about the federal guidance and considerations for your organization, contact our experts below.

Turning HR 1 Medicaid Work Requirements into Workforce Development Opportunities: Lessons from HMA’s Recent Webinar

As State Medicaid Agencies prepare for the operational and policy shifts introduced by HR 1’s Medicaid Work Requirements, the stakes could not be higher. While the intent of these provisions is to encourage workforce participation, their real-world implementation risks leaving behind those who already face systemic barriers—particularly rural communities, people of color, and individuals with chronic conditions.

In a recent HMA webinar, Work That Works: Creating Sustainable Employment Pathways for Medicaid-Enrolled Communities,” Shannon Joseph, Senior Consultant and Workforce Development expert at Health Management Associates (HMA), and Dr. Alicia Johnson, Managing Principal and strategic advisor on Medicaid transformation at HMA, led a dynamic conversation for state leaders and Medicaid stakeholders. Their core message was clear: with thoughtful design, states can transform work requirements from punitive compliance metrics into powerful tools for workforce development and economic mobility.

The Policy Landscape: HR 1 and State Readiness

HR 1 establishes new federal standards that require states to verify that certain Medicaid enrollees are meeting minimum work or community engagement hours as a condition of continued coverage. While exemptions exist for specific populations, the administrative lift, data infrastructure, and interagency coordination needed to operationalize these requirements are significant.

Historically, states that have experimented with work requirements, such as Arkansas, Kentucky, and New Hampshire, have seen coverage losses not because beneficiaries were unwilling to comply, but because systems were unprepared to support them. Barriers such as limited broadband access, low literacy rates, unstable employment markets, and health disparities disproportionately impacted rural residents and people of color.

Key Challenge #1: Avoiding Disproportionate Impact on Vulnerable Communities

One of the most pressing concerns is that work requirements may exacerbate disproportionate access. In rural communities, jobs that meet hour thresholds are often scarce, transportation options are limited, and childcare access is inconsistent. For people of color, historic and systemic barriers to employment persist, from lack of work credentials, to lack of tailored workforce programs. For individuals with chronic conditions or disabilities not formally classified as exempt, participation can be difficult or intermittent.

Dr. Johnson emphasized the importance of a community-based approach that leverages local resources and local social safety nets to increase participation and outcomes but developing targeted strategies that address the varying needs of the Medicaid community.

“We cannot simply apply a one-size-fits-all model. States must design implementation strategies that close population health gaps and overcome the social structural gaps in their systems, not widen them. Social Determinants of Health are not just passive background factors; they actively shape people’s ability to achieve and maintain good health and life outcomes.”

Best Practice: Conduct community-level impact assessments prior to implementation to identify geographic, demographic, and health-related disparities. Use this data to tailor outreach, exemptions, and workforce partnerships accordingly.

Key Challenge #2: Shifting from Compliance to Workforce Integration

Too often, states have approached work requirements as a compliance exercise—tracking hours, verifying exemptions, and ensuring federal reporting—without connecting to broader workforce development ecosystems. This narrow focus misses the opportunity to align Medicaid with labor, education, and economic development systems.

Shannon Joseph pointed to states like Louisiana, where cross-agency partnerships have begun to link Medicaid beneficiaries to workforce boards, training programs, and supportive services, “The most successful models are those where Medicaid is not working alone. When states braid resources and align objectives, work requirements can become a springboard for meaningful employment.”

Best Practice: Develop formal MOUs between Medicaid agencies, state workforce boards, Departments of Labor, and community colleges to share data, coordinate referrals, and leverage federal funding streams like SNAP E&T and WIOA.

Key Challenge #3: Building Administrative Infrastructure and Data Systems

Another central theme of the webinar was the need for robust data infrastructure. Many states lack integrated eligibility systems capable of tracking employment hours, exemptions, and participation across multiple programs. Without this integration, states risk errors, delays, and unnecessary disenrollments.

HMA highlighted the value of interoperable data systems and FHIR-based architecture that allow Medicaid agencies to exchange information with workforce agencies in real time. Digital equity must also be part of the conversation, especially in rural areas where broadband access remains a challenge.

Best Practice: Prioritize system modernization investments and interoperability pilots to build the technical backbone for equitable and efficient implementation such as the one in Georgia launched for the Pathways program.

Key Challenge #4: Partnering with Communities for Culturally Responsive Implementation

Dr. Johnson underscored that states cannot achieve equitable implementation from the statehouse alone. Partnerships with community-based organizations (CBOs), faith institutions, and local employers are critical to reaching populations who may be distrustful of government systems or unaware of new requirements.

Community partners are trusted messengers. They can bridge gaps in communication, help with navigation, and ensure that people understand both their obligations and opportunities,
– Dr. Alicia Johnson

Best Practice: Create local implementation collaboratives that include Medicaid staff, CBOs, workforce entities, and providers to co-design outreach and support strategies tailored to community needs.

Key Challenge #5: Aligning Metrics with Meaningful Outcomes

Finally, both speakers cautioned against relying solely on compliance metrics (e.g., hours reported, exemptions processed) to evaluate success. Instead, states should track workforce and health outcomes, such as employment stability, income growth, retention in coverage, and health status improvements. Shannon Joseph noted, “If our only measure of success is whether someone uploads their work hours, we’ve missed the point. The goal should be sustainable pathways to economic mobility and improved health.”

Best Practice: Develop a multi-dimensional performance dashboard that blends compliance data with workforce outcomes, health equity indicators, and beneficiary experience measures.

Solutions & Strategies for States: A Roadmap

Drawing from the discussion, HMA outlined a set of strategic recommendations for state Medicaid agencies:

  1. Conduct Equity Impact Assessments: Identify populations at risk of adverse impacts and tailor exemptions and support services accordingly.
  2. Align with Workforce Systems: Establish data-sharing agreements and coordinated referral pathways with workforce boards and community colleges.
  3. Invest in Data Modernization: Build interoperable systems to reduce administrative burden and ensure real-time verification.
  4. Engage Trusted Community Partners: Leverage CBOs and local institutions for outreach, navigation, and culturally responsive engagement.
  5. Shift Metrics to Outcomes: Measure employment stability, economic mobility, and health outcomes—not just compliance.
  6. Pilot, Learn, Scale: Start with targeted pilots in high-need communities, evaluate rigorously, and scale strategies that work.

HMA’s Role: Strategic Partner to States Developing Public/Private Partnerships to Build Genuine Pipelines of Work

HMA has deep expertise helping states design, implement, and evaluate Medicaid work requirement policies in ways that are operationally sound, legally defensible, and Medicaid Member-centered. Our team has supported states in:

  • Conducting 1115 waiver design and evaluation,
  • Integrating Medicaid and workforce systems,
  • Designing targeted outreach strategies for rural and underserved populations,
  • Implementing digital modernization projects, and
  • Developing performance dashboards that focus on outcomes.

HMA brings both policy acumen and on-the-ground implementation experience, enabling states to navigate complex regulatory landscapes while advancing population health and real-world outcomes.

Learn More & Partner with HMA

If you missed the live webinar, you can watch the replay here.

You might also be interested in attending the HMA National conference, Adapting for Success in a Changing Healthcare Landscape.in New Orleans October 14-16, for our session on Making Medicaid Work Requirements Work, where we will draw on lessons from states like Georgia.  Panelists will explore what to watch for in program design, including strategies to support workforce readiness, reduce administrative burden, and maintain access to care.  Speakers include:

Online registration closes October 10, but if you act now, you can use the code FLASH25 for up to $475 off the standard registration fee for the full conference. 

For more information about how HMA can support your state in strategic planning, operational design, impact analysis, and workforce integration, please contact our experts below.

HMA Enrollment Update: Medicaid Managed Care Organizations See Drop in Enrollment in 2Q25

This week, our second In Focus provides insights into Medicaid managed care enrollment in the second quarter of 2025. Health Management Associates Information Services (HMAIS) obtained and analyzed monthly Medicaid enrollment data in 30 states,[1] offering a reliable baseline and timely view of the immediate impact of the current policy landscape as new federal policies take effect.

This analysis presents a snapshot of HMAIS’s comprehensive detailed quarterly Medicaid managed care enrollment report (available by subscription), which includes plan-level information for nearly 300 health plans in 41 states, corporate ownership, for-profit versus not-for-profit status, and similar information regarding publicly traded plans. Table 1 provides a sample of enrollment trends, representing 57 million Medicaid managed care enrollees of a total of 66 million Medicaid managed care enrollees nationwide. Data reporting periods and program coverage vary by state, so figures may not be fully comparable.

Key Insights from 2Q25 Data

The 30 states included in our review have released monthly Medicaid managed care enrollment data—via a public website or in response to a public records request from HMAIS—for April through June of 2025. This report reflects the most recent data posted or obtained from states. HMA has made the following observations regarding the enrollment data:

  • Year-over-year decline. As of June 2025, in the 30 states reviewed, Medicaid managed care enrollment declined by 1.6 million members year-over-year, a 2.7 percent drop from June 2024.
  • Widespread decreases. Of the 30 states, 27 experienced enrollment declines in June 2025 compared to June 2024. Oregon and the District of Columbia saw modest growth, while California remained flat (Table 1).
  • Sharpest contractions. Arizona and Maryland reported double-digit percentage drops in enrollment in June 2025 (Table 1), underscoring the uneven impact of redeterminations and eligibility policy changes.
  • Difference among expansion and non-expansion states. Among the 24 states included in the analysis that expanded Medicaid, enrollment fell by 1.2 million—a 2.5 percent drop—to 49.2 million. The six non-expansion states saw a steeper proportional decline of 4.2 percent, to a total of 8 million enrollees.

Table 1. 2Q25 Monthly MCO Enrollment by State, April–June 2025

Note: “+/- m/m” refers to the enrollment change from the previous month, and “% y/y” refers to the percentage change in enrollment from the same month in the previous year.

The data in Table 1 should be viewed as a sampling of enrollment trends across these states rather than as a comprehensive comparison, which cannot be established based solely on publicly available monthly enrollment data. It is also important to note the limitations of the data presented. For example, not all states report data at the same time during the month, resulting in a range of snapshots from the beginning to the end of the month. Second, in some instances, the data cover all Medicaid managed care programs, while in others they reflect only a subset of the broader managed Medicaid population, depending on what data is publicly available.

Market Share and Plan Dynamics

HMAIS’s report includes plan-level details for nearly 300 plans, covering corporate ownership, program participation, and tax status. As of June 2025, Centene continues to lead the national Medicaid managed care market with 17.8 percent share, followed by Elevance (10.4 percent), United (8.6 percent), and Molina (6.2 percent; see Table 2).

Table 2. National Medicaid Managed Care Market Share by Number of Beneficiaries for a Sample of Publicly Traded Plans, June 2025

What to Watch

The OBBBA (P.L. 119-21) calls for significant changes to Medicaid eligibility and enrollment policies, including work requirements and more frequent eligibility redeterminations. Projections indicate that Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Program enrollment could decline by up to 7.5 million people by 2034. In addition, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has announced that it will not approve or extend waivers for multi-year continuous eligibility for adults or children.

As these policies are implemented, state governments and healthcare organizations should prepare for increased administrative complexity, potential coverage disruptions, and the resulting effect on MCO revenue and value-based care arrangements.

Connect with Us

HMA is home to experts who know the Medicaid managed care landscape at the federal and state levels. As the Medicaid landscape continues to evolve, HMAIS equips stakeholders with timely, actionable intelligence, including enrollment data, quarterly by-plan and by-state enrollment reports, financials, Medicaid demonstration and Rural Health Transformation program tracking, and a robust library of publicly available Medicaid-related documents. HMAIS combines publicly available information with HMA expert insights on the structure of Medicaid in each state, as well as our comprehensive, proprietary State Medicaid Overviews.

For questions about the HMAIS enrollment report and information about the HMAIS subscription, contact our experts below.

Navigating the Government Shutdown: Safeguarding the RHT and “Make Rural America Healthy Again” Initiatives

As of October 1, 2025, federal budget negotiations have led to a temporary government shutdown, prompting healthcare leaders to monitor potential impacts on programs administered by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). While federal agencies have contingency plans in place, to date CMS has not announced any potential impacts, including to the timelines for the application and award dates for the Rural Health Transformation (RHT) Program.

State governments and healthcare leaders should continue to develop and prepare to submit their applications for the RHT program, which provides a significant opportunity to revitalize rural healthcare infrastructure through strategic investments in access, workforce, innovation, and technology.

Strategies for States to Efficiently Develop Winning Applications

To maintain momentum and optimize their resources during this period of uncertainty in federal government funding and operations:

1. Strengthen Internal Coordination

  • Establish cross-agency working groups to manage RHT program planning and execution
  • Use internal policy experts to interpret the Notice of Funding Opportunity (NOFO) guidance and align initiatives with CMS priorities

2. Leverage Existing Data and Evidence

  • Use state-level health data to identify high-impact areas for investment
  • Prioritize initiatives that align with the RHT program’s five strategic goals:
    • Prevention and chronic disease management
    • Sustainable access
    • Workforce development
    • Innovative care models
    • Technology innovation

3. Utilize Project Management Tools

To support strategic planning and initiative tracking, Health Management Associates (HMA) is offering a free RHT Project Management Tool. This resource helps states:

  • Organize and manage initiative development
  • Cross-reference projects with NOFO categories
  • Track progress and performance metrics
  • Facilitate collaboration across stakeholders

Access the RHT Project Management Tool from HMA:

Complete the form to download
the RHT Project Management Tool

Engage with CMS Resources Proactively

States and their partners can continue to refer to key CMS resources:

States can also submit questions to [email protected].

Final Thoughts

While the government shutdown presents challenges for many federal programs, it remains unclear whether there will be any direct impact on CMS’s engagement with states regarding the Rural Health Transformation Program. Regardless of federal circumstances, this moment highlights the value of state-level leadership and innovation. By leveraging tools like HMA’s project management platform and aligning with CMS’s strategic goals, states can continue advancing rural health transformation and position themselves for success, even in uncertain times.

Ready to talk?